Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 138.684410 152.097327 165.766740 180.713023 196.568641 212.861126 230.841285
2025-06-08 117.633187 137.915979 159.508030 184.088273 211.177725 240.008750 272.899086
2025-06-15 104.139293 129.745123 158.086082 191.490822 229.497178 271.115610 319.852818
2025-06-22 91.122515 120.329260 153.861102 194.656837 242.401307 295.986354 360.140808
2025-06-29 79.396571 110.929087 148.415870 195.380707 251.762965 316.432177 395.354273
2025-07-06 70.406699 103.743205 144.677141 197.336581 261.991952 337.557207 431.291996
2025-07-13 64.782649 100.097005 144.709368 203.419400 276.878738 364.078396 473.692204
2025-07-20 58.977051 95.551839 143.067149 206.980274 288.391983 386.441653 511.211969
2025-07-27 54.943989 92.940547 143.556877 212.962426 302.746766 412.224711 552.983849
2025-08-03 50.681607 89.562171 142.672340 216.884181 314.330634 434.562181 590.665144
2025-08-10 43.223912 80.846934 133.915421 209.840512 311.386413 438.485652 605.455084
2025-08-17 37.908561 74.780951 128.351340 206.641042 313.066567 447.951296 626.955226
2025-08-24 33.895231 70.427059 125.030182 206.438588 318.780495 462.801121 655.691762
2025-08-31 30.866934 67.363391 123.374208 208.417435 327.373845 481.433591 689.447751
2025-09-07 29.425421 66.797965 125.364940 215.558955 343.038330 509.419770 735.450526
2025-09-14 27.106454 64.487672 124.524016 218.507734 352.929705 529.917894 772.020090
2025-09-21 24.473787 61.335794 122.148473 219.036277 359.366514 545.843586 802.764790
2025-09-28 22.400919 58.977443 120.847252 221.018393 367.763425 564.380062 837.008041
2025-10-05 21.393574 58.531434 122.570223 227.524004 382.590819 591.635841 882.870197
2025-10-12 19.964436 57.103455 122.565513 231.333376 393.569192 613.769600 922.147221
2025-10-19 19.113584 56.743420 124.285700 237.772563 408.351991 641.143913 968.515522
2025-10-26 17.951277 55.611244 124.608044 241.993959 419.937891 664.240536 1009.367941
2025-11-02 15.069736 50.422996 117.594920 234.386111 414.032483 663.207490 1017.946570